'I worked for Donald Trump these are my four scary predictions for what he’ll do next'

When someone who worked inside the Trump administration starts sounding the alarm, it's worth paying attention. Miles Taylor isn't a political opponent or a media critic he was a senior government official who sat in the rooms, attended the meetings, and watched how decisions got made. And what he's describing now is something that should concern anyone tracking American foreign policy.

Taylor's warning is rooted in a simple but troubling theory: when Trump feels politically boxed in at home, he redirects that energy outward. Approval ratings sliding? Congressional investigations closing in? Trump's instinct, Taylor argues, isn't to retreat it's to assert dominance somewhere else.

"With his hands tied at home, he put his foot down abroad," Taylor wrote, describing a pattern he witnessed firsthand after the 2018 midterm elections, when Democrats flipped the House.

What Happened After the 2018 Midterms A Preview

Taylor's account of the post-2018 environment inside the administration is striking. He describes senior officials being pulled into what he called "secret meetings," where staff were reportedly instructed to block Democratic oversight efforts at every turn deny document requests, drag out inquiries, and prepare to defy subpoenas outright.

"If Democrats wanted documents in their corruption probes, they would get the middle finger," Taylor recalled, noting that agencies were given legal cover to resist investigations.

He says that internal atmosphere was part of what pushed him toward the exit. But before he left, he noticed something else: as the president's domestic position weakened, his foreign posture hardened.

That period saw Trump abruptly pull US troops from Syria, pick public fights with longtime allies like Canada and Germany, and lean further into relationships with Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong-un. The controversial phone call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky which eventually became central to Trump's first impeachment also came during this stretch.

Four Predictions for What Comes Next

Taylor doesn't just look backward. He lays out four specific scenarios he believes could unfold as Trump faces growing political headwinds in his second term.

Military posturing abroad Taylor's first concern is the possibility of military action or shows of force in foreign theaters not necessarily out of strategic necessity, but as a pressure valve. He specifically flagged Cuba as already being on Trump's radar and suggested Latin America could become a renewed focus. He also wasn't willing to close the book on Greenland. A politically embattled president, Taylor argued, might seek to "flex military might for the sheer satisfaction of it."

Abandoning allies, embracing adversaries Second, Taylor anticipates a continued and accelerating drift away from traditional democratic allies and toward authoritarian-leaning leaders. His warning on Ukraine was particularly direct: "Prepare for him to sacrifice Ukraine's hard-fought interests to Russia without much of a fight." He also raised the possibility of Trump quietly accommodating Chinese ambitions toward Taiwan.

Reshaping or dismantling alliances Third, Taylor projects significant disruption to the architecture of Western alliances, with NATO being the most obvious target. Trump, he suggested, might not simply undermine the alliance but could attempt to construct a parallel structure one built around personal and ideological loyalty rather than shared democratic values. Only "the faithful," as Taylor put it, would get a seat at the table.

Meddling in foreign elections Finally, Taylor raised the prospect of direct interference in other countries' political processes. He pointed to France's upcoming presidential election as a likely target, given the post-Macron landscape. Germany and the United Kingdom also featured in his concerns, with Taylor warning that Trump may actively support populist movements abroad including, he suggested, lending backing to Reform UK's efforts to push Britain toward a MAGA-style political direction.

The Question Nobody Wants to Ask

Perhaps the most unsettling part of Taylor's piece wasn't the foreign policy predictions it was how he closed it.

He raised, plainly and without drama, the question of whether Trump would willingly leave office at the end of his current term.

"He tried to remain in office illegally last time," Taylor wrote. "Any rational observer should plan for the possibility that he will try again."

It's a line that lands heavily. And Taylor acknowledged that many Western governments are already quietly preparing for rougher terrain reinforcing ties with democratic partners and building resilience against economic, diplomatic, or military disruption from what he bluntly described as "a rogue United States."

A Reluctant Messenger

There's something worth noting about the tone Taylor strikes throughout. This isn't triumphant criticism from a political rival. It reads more like reluctant testimony from someone who would genuinely prefer to be wrong.

"It brings me no satisfaction to report that those forecasts are now proving accurate," he wrote. "If anything, it's one of my greatest disappointments as an American to tell our friends abroad that we've lost our step because our leader has lost his mind."

Whether or not one agrees with Taylor's political conclusions, the source matters here. This is someone who held a senior position in the same administration he's now warning the world about and he's clearly decided that staying quiet is no longer an option.